The Margolis Manifesto

The Margolis Manifesto

Share this post

The Margolis Manifesto
The Margolis Manifesto
Are the Polls and Forecasters Wrong Again?
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

Are the Polls and Forecasters Wrong Again?

Matt Margolis's avatar
Matt Margolis
Sep 20, 2024
∙ Paid
4

Share this post

The Margolis Manifesto
The Margolis Manifesto
Are the Polls and Forecasters Wrong Again?
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
1
Share
Free Stickers with I voted inscription and flag of USA Stock Photo

While many election forecasters are optimistic about Kamala Harris’s chances for winning in November, recent polling suggests a much more favorable situation for Donald Trump than they would have us believe.

Earlier this month, historian Allan Lichtman updated his "Keys to the White House" model, predicting Harris would win. However, as I proved at the …

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to The Margolis Manifesto to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Matt Margolis
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More