The Margolis Manifesto

The Margolis Manifesto

Was the Debate a Silver Bullet to Biden’s Campaign?

Matt Margolis's avatar
Matt Margolis
Jul 02, 2024
∙ Paid

Last week, I reported on Nate Silver's bleak assessment of Biden's chances in the upcoming election over at PJ Media. His simulations gave Trump a 65.7% chance of winning the Electoral College and a 49% chance of winning the popular vote.

Democrats were, of course, angry at the projection. But Silver wasn’t interested in telling them what they wanted to …

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