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Trump is Doing Better Than The Polls Suggest
If you’ve seen recent general election matchup polls, the 2024 election appears to be a dead heat between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. The latest CNN poll has Trump up 1 point, the latest Wall Street Journal poll has them even, and Biden barely leads in the Real Clear Politics average by 0.3 points. This is a fragile position for an incumbent president, particularly against Trump, whom the mainstream media has tirelessly attacked ever since he decided to run for president.
The latest Wall Street Journal poll found that 73% of Americans believe President Joe Biden may not be “mentally up for the job” of being the country’s leader. This concern regarding President Biden’s age isn’t confined to one political party; the poll found that two-thirds of Democrats also believe he is too old to be president. (RELATED: Oye, Biden’s Numbers Are Really, Really Bad)
Such close polling should terrify the Biden White House, not just because the numbers are so close. According to CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten, there is something “vastly different” in this cycle’s polling compared to 2020.
“What I will note is there was not a single poll conducted by CNN during the entire 2020 cycle in which Donald Trump got a higher share of the vote than Joe Biden,” explained Enten. “So this is a vastly different picture from what we saw from four years ago.”
Voters are also much more motivated to vote for Trump this time.
“Yeah, this is another potentially good sign for Donald Trump,” Enten explained. “Biden versus Trump, this is the margin. Among those extremely motivated to vote, Trump is up by six percentage points. Among all other voters Biden is up by six percentage points.”
“I think there’s a real question for Joe Biden. Can he motivate those who may not like either candidate, or maybe lukewarm on him, come out and vote? Because if he can, that would be favorable for him, but at this particular point, there are just a lot of good signs for Donald Trump in this poll given all the stuff that’s been going for him, and many not so great signs for Joe Biden.”
In fact, Biden is in such a weak position that 46% of voters in CNN’s latest poll say they’d choose any Republican over Biden, and a majority, 58%, blame Biden and his policies for the lousy economy. Further, every Republican candidate (except Vivek Ramaswamy) beats or ties Biden. (RELATED: Joe Biden Is Really Screwed Now)
The 2020 election was extremely close, and right now, the political environment is vastly superior for him because of how weak Biden is. So, Trump is doing much better than the polls suggest. There’s a reason why there’s a lot of whispering about Biden not being the nominee next year and little reason to believe things will get better for him as time passes.