The Margolis Manifesto

The Margolis Manifesto

Polls Won't Determine The Outcome Of This Election

Matt Margolis's avatar
Matt Margolis
Sep 19, 2024
∙ Paid

I’d be lying if I said that this election wasn’t stressing me out. Heck, even before Joe Biden dropped out and Trump appeared headed for a landslide victory, I was stressed. When Biden finally left the race, Trump only had a three-point lead in the RealClearPolitics average. We’ve seen candidates with bigger deficits come back and win.

It’s my job as a political columnist to pay attention to what’s going on in U.S. politics. As such, I immerse ourselves in polls, projections, and betting markets, seeking any insight into what might unfold on Election Day.

But they don’t matter.

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